Conference Championship Playoff Passing Props Brock Purdy Pass Completions
There s conflicting stats to consider when looking to bet on the passing props for Brock Purdy.
On one hand, at a total yards prop of 279.5 at DraftKings, that s a number Purdy has failed to exceed in any of his last four games. He has done so in seven games this season but only twice in his past seven games.
But when you look at the Lions, anyone and everyone has been carving up their 29th-ranked pass defense. Last week Baker Mayfield threw for 349 yards. The week prior Matthew Stafford had 367. Before that it was Nick Mullens with 396, Dak Prescott with 345 and then Mullens again with 411.
We can also look at Purdy s completions prop though. DraftKings lines him at 21.5, but you can find 20.5 at FanDuel. Purdy has completed 23 and 22 passes in his last two games but failed to finished with 20+ in his four games prior. He also failed to go over 21.5 in seven of his past nine games.
But flip back over to the Lions, and in the past five games, along the way to the previously mentioned quarterbacks having big yardage games, they also completed 26, 25, 30, 26 and 22 passes. Kyle Shanahan would be wise to take a similar approach this week, and if he does, we see Purdy at least going over the 20.5 total at FanDuel.
NFL Player Prop Picks: Brock Purdy over 20.5 pass completions (-118); risk 1 unit at FanDuel
Conference Championship Playoff Rushing Props Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Lamar is coming off of a 100-yard day on the ground last week, and while he rushed for just 35 and 45 yards in his two games prior, he had games of 97 and 70 yards before that. So he would ve exceeded a rushing prop of 65.5 in three of his past five games.
Plus the Chiefs allowed 72 yards rushing to Josh Allen last week and also 77 yards to Easton Stick in Week 18.
NFL Player Prop Picks: Lamar Jackson over 65.5 rushing yards (-125); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Conference Championship Playoff Rushing Props David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Lions RB David Montgomery fell shy of a rushing prop of 42.5 yards last week finishing with 33 yards, but even with a timeshare alongside Jahmyr Gibbs, Montgomery typically gets up and over this number.
He did so in the Wild Card Round with 57 yards, in nine of the past 11 games and in 13/16 total combined games this season.
Green Bay s Aaron Jones rushed for 108 yards versus the 49ers last week and ten times this season an opposing team s top rusher went over 42.5 yards. Twice, an opposing team had two players top that number in the same game.
NFL Player Prop Picks: David Montgomery over 42.5 rushing yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
